The Wake of the ‘Civil State’

After the Iraqi Parliament ratified the “Popular Mobilisation” law the day before last, the Iranian outlook on the region’s future is now clearer than ever; it does not only rely on the allegiance of governments in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon, but to the same extent, depends perhaps even more on the role of armed militias in these countries; the Popular Mobilisation forces in Iraq, Hizbollah in Lebanon, and the soon-to-be-established faction of Qasim Suleimani in Syria, which will be established even if their job to finish off most of the Syrian armed opposition is done.

The ‘Popular Mobilisation’ law legitimises sectarian militias, and grants them legal status; these militias whose ideological and religious basis, as well as practice, do not differ much from “ISIS”. The only difference is that the prior has Iran and Russia back them, with recently crystallising US interests in Iraq, whereas Daesh, aka ISIS, stand against all, even Sunni resistance in Iraq and Syria.

Still, more dangerously, the law gives legal immunity to the ‘Mobilisation’ personnel, and prevents their prosecution, even if the charges amounted to war crimes, unless the Prime Minister ratifies a motion to prosecute, which makes the mostly-Shiite militia a parallel force to the Iraqi Army, with 100 to 140 thousand strong, an independent budget, and an autonomous leadership that does not answer to the military or the Ministry of Interior.

Ironically, and sadly enough, Iran no longer feels a need to operate covertly or keep their domination agenda for the region on the low. Iranian Chief of the Revolutionary Guard, Mohammad Ali Jaafari, said that the Popular Mobilisation militia may be sent to Syria, once ISIS in Iraq is finished, the way Hizbollah was; both operate under the command of the Iranian supreme clergy, meanwhile political entities, along with what remains of the countries’ national autonomy, all evaporate into thin air.

Former vice Premier, Saleh Mutlaq, commented on the law saying that the dream once of a civil state in Iraq is now diminished! To everybody’s surprise, no one today cares about the civil state; neither the Iraqis, nor the Syrians, not even Uncle Sam or any of the Arab states who sponsored the counter revolution and supported it, which led us here this day!

“Who cares?” American politicians say! America is now collaborating the with “Popular Mobilisation”, providing air cover as the Qasim Suleimani’s men and affiliates advance on the ground. In Syria, the Russians cover the air and Hizbollah, along with other Shiite militias, march the grounds. And the only major US allies in Iraq and Syria are the Kurdish Militias; the Peshmerga and the ‘Democratic Syria Forces’, respectively, as the Arabs back other armed militias, and so do the Turks. Daesh on the other hand, introduces themselves as defenders of Sunni Arabs in the absence of a Sunni Arab regional power, following fundamental shifts in the Turkish position.

Arab states are disintegrating, and militias have become the real cross-state players, in the stead of multi-national corporations. All the while, the Arab human is transformed from citizen to sectarian or tribal militant, employed in the effort to protect social components and carry out sectarian, racial, and ethnic cleansings purposed to reinforce the undergoing social restructuring.

Perhaps the funniest comment I heard on this was by a Christian clergy in a recently ‘liberated’ Mosul town, on BBC radio; he said that the residents of his town would rather their village Joins the Kurdish administration, because it was the Kurds who liberated them, whereas over the years past, the Iraqi government had abandoned them. He said that the Kurds are the wake of the upcoming civil state in the region!

This, in any way, does not mean that I disagree with friend and MP Khalid Ramadan, in regards to his Civil State aspiration, for it is both the dream and the solution. However, I am not exactly optimistic!

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