Syrians and Arabs have stood against the federation option proposed for Syria, with absolute resolve, suggesting that it is the gateway for Syrian division, and the end of the unified country we have known for over seventy years.
Time is running out for the proponents of a Syrian federation, evidently. The objective dynamic within is drawing end to the proposition that this option that many so refuse may soon no longer be available.
Syria is on the brink of annihilation. Statistics documenting the scale of the tragedy there, indicate that 45 per cent of Syrians have either immigrated or been displaced, while millions of housed have been reduced to rubble. Half of Syria’s children do not attend school, and there more than a quarter million Syrian dead, and twice or more that figure injured or disabled, next to tens of thousands missing, under the weight of a broken economy.
As far as it goes for Germans, they are not any tougher than the Syrians. Germany resurged, post WWII; from its rubble, and so could the Syrians, even though Syria has taken quite a blow to the core; the national fabric torn, and the idea of solidarity among Syrians under central single-party governance, in total dismissal to the rights of domestic social components.
The danger facing Syria is not incurred by the option of Federation, but in the continuation of the current struggle, in the absence of a political horizon that unifies geographic Syria as one. Who could imagine the Kurds will let go of their dream of sovereignty after all this sacrifice? And how are the Syrian Sunnis expected to go back to the previous condition and turn a blind eye to the rivers of blood running along their towns and cities? The same questions are raised by the Alawites, Christians, and other components of the Syrian mosaic.
Persistence on the Syria we used to know will only lead to further splintering of the State and people, leading towards an uninhabitable future.
The Syrian predicament today is not per say the control of terrorist groups over vast areas of Syria; the most pressing issue is the lacking of habitability among the Syrian components, after everything that has happened and is currently happening.
Keep in mind that the Iraqis adopted a constitution that integrates the principles of Federation, but the crisis escalated to a point that was met by failure on the Iraqi parts, in the effort to save their country, preceding division to Federation.
Syria today is nearing critical point; between the political solution, with little luck, and the endless turmoil that now endures, which is expected to last for long, should regional and international players fail to strike a deal.
The latter situation, on the mid-term, would result in the disintegration of the Syrian entity; geographically and demographically, and the decay of its pillars, more so; the pillars for federation. It would lead to the formation of frail conflicting sub-entities, ruled by terrorists, warlords, and death squads.
Russia, given their expertise in conflict, realises these facts, and will not sit remain on the side lines for long. They will enforce their resolve in the end, and attempt to save what could be saved. Iran is not interested much in the retention of a unified Syria; they cannot handle a unified Syria in the future. The west, lacking vision; turned the whole case to Gulf countries, who no longer have anything more to offer Syrian refugees but shelters at sea!
The fate of Syria is in the hands of Syrians, alone; and they need to make their decision; either the federation, or chaos to no end.
